Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.394503 0.431641 0.471298 0.516892 0.567982 0.623602 0.688913
2025-12-07 0.328926 0.379953 0.438185 0.509963 0.596615 0.698546 0.828559
2025-12-14 0.290001 0.347147 0.415304 0.503381 0.615342 0.754485 0.942974
2025-12-21 0.257146 0.316258 0.389178 0.486929 0.616352 0.784443 1.023640
2025-12-28 0.241501 0.304385 0.384380 0.495309 0.647881 0.854506 1.162866
2026-01-04 0.227843 0.293364 0.378988 0.501336 0.675463 0.920423 1.302420
2026-01-11 0.215255 0.282431 0.372341 0.504316 0.698053 0.980290 1.438824
2026-01-18 0.203960 0.272197 0.365529 0.505936 0.718034 1.037265 1.576424
2026-01-25 0.194912 0.264297 0.361150 0.510293 0.741843 1.101534 1.732602
2026-02-01 0.182656 0.250954 0.347912 0.500155 0.742032 1.127992 1.827718
2026-02-08 0.175130 0.243902 0.343257 0.502468 0.761632 1.187142 1.986244
2026-02-15 0.166758 0.235053 0.335265 0.498799 0.770892 1.229383 2.118829
2026-02-22 0.160458 0.229042 0.331341 0.501529 0.791387 1.293662 2.303123
2026-03-01 0.152411 0.219941 0.322104 0.494950 0.795442 1.329214 2.436552
2026-03-08 0.145105 0.211556 0.313445 0.488601 0.799146 1.364114 2.572964
2026-03-15 0.136307 0.200390 0.299725 0.472735 0.784468 1.362936 2.633099
2026-03-22 0.133215 0.198047 0.300028 0.480817 0.813814 1.448774 2.893946
2026-03-29 0.129865 0.195093 0.299119 0.486630 0.839299 1.529508 3.156056
2026-04-05 0.126166 0.191371 0.296691 0.489503 0.859308 1.601080 3.408269
2026-04-12 0.122461 0.187447 0.293684 0.491066 0.876789 1.669068 3.662978
2026-04-19 0.119451 0.184521 0.292197 0.495267 0.899768 1.751163 3.967488
2026-04-26 0.114232 0.177654 0.283549 0.485491 0.893529 1.768284 4.104608
2026-05-03 0.111315 0.174555 0.281316 0.487722 0.912225 1.843387 4.412163